Last Week’s Trade Recap:
- USD/CHF Short – SL hit
- USD/CAD short – Price almost hit TP, continue holding and shift SL to BE
- CAD/CHF short – SL hit
- DAX Short – Price almost hit TP, continue holding and shift SL to BE
- ETH/USDT Short – SL hit
The upcoming G20 Summit, scheduled for November 18-19, 2024, in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is set to address several critical global issues that could significantly influence financial markets. This is possibly the biggest market moving news for the week.
Key Agenda Items:
- Climate Change and Sustainable Finance: The summit is expected to focus on advancing climate finance initiatives, particularly for developing nations. Discussions may include enhancing financial support for climate adaptation and mitigation efforts.
- Global Economic Stability: Leaders will likely deliberate on strategies to bolster global economic resilience amid ongoing challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions.
- International Taxation: The implementation of a global minimum corporate tax rate and measures to address tax avoidance by multinational corporations are anticipated to be key topics.
Potential Market Impacts:
- Equity Markets: Commitments to increased climate finance could benefit sectors involved in renewable energy and sustainable technologies. Conversely, heightened regulatory measures may pose challenges for industries reliant on fossil fuels.
- Currency Markets: Collaborative efforts to stabilize the global economy may bolster investor confidence, potentially strengthening major currencies. However, any indications of trade tensions or protectionist policies could lead to currency volatility.
- Bond Markets: Discussions on fiscal policies and debt sustainability could influence government bond yields. Commitments to fiscal discipline may lead to lower yields, while concerns over increased spending could push yields higher.
Forex
USD/JPY
USD/JPY is trending strongly and we are looking for a bounce off the 100EMA on
the H4 chart for the continuation of the trend.
EUR/CAD
Price has broken down from the consolidation and we expect price to move higher
first before falling lower.
Indices
Dow Jones
We expect further downside as the momentum for Dow Jones starts to slowdown
and gets overbought.
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin
We are looking for a short trade for BTC as price hit an ATH last week. We could see a reasonable
retracement towards the 85k level.
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